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Nifty above 23,400? What Monday’s market close tells us

Sensex and Nifty rose on Monday, September 21, tracking Asian markets and easing crude oil prices after six straight weekly losses; the Sensex was up about 420 points in early trade, with reports putting the close near 74,859.

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Market wraps reported the Nifty closing at 23,414.30 on Monday, up about 68 points.

The Sensex closed at 74,858.99, up about 564 points, according to the same reports.

The move followed six weekly losses.

Crude oil eased, and Asian markets were higher.

Direction ahead depends on oil, foreign flows and Middle East developments.

The gains came as easing crude oil prices offered relief to a market that had been on edge over Middle East tensions.

Brent crude fell about 2.2 percent to roughly 101.56 dollars a barrel, and US crude fell about 2.4 percent to about 97.93 dollars.

Asian markets had closed broadly higher, with South Korea’s Kospi up 1.43 percent and Japan’s Nikkei up 1.38 percent.

InterGlobe Aviation, which runs IndiGo, rose about 1.55 percent to Rs 4,996.50, helped by lower fuel costs.

Sun Pharma rose about 1.39 percent and Reliance Industries about 1.36 percent in early trade.

Adani Ports fell about 2.8 percent, Bharti Airtel about 2.3 percent and Wipro about 1.8 percent.

The rebound followed a sixth consecutive weekly loss for the Sensex and Nifty, the longest such run in about six years for the Sensex.

Investors were also watching the closing of the Rs 22,569 crore NSE IPO, which had drawn liquidity from the secondary market.

Oil-importing India is sensitive to crude prices, since lower prices reduce the import bill and support the rupee and inflation outlook.

Market direction in the coming days is likely to depend on crude oil, foreign fund flows and developments in the Middle East.

In early trade on Monday, September 21, the BSE Sensex rose 419.94 points, or 0.57 percent, to 74,714.90.

The NSE Nifty 50 added 39.75 points, or 0.17 percent, to 23,386.15 in early deals.

Some reports put the opening levels slightly lower, with the Sensex up about 330 points at 74,624.74 and the Nifty at about 23,372.

Phiroze Jeejeebhoy Towers, Bombay Stock Exchange (representative image), Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 2.0

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Explained: Why a weak rupee and costly crude hurt Indian stocks

The Sensex fell 547.65 points to 71,924.68 and the Nifty 50 lost 157.10 points to 22,363.35 on October 12, after early gains faded on foreign fund outflows, elevated crude oil and a weak rupee.

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A weaker rupee raises the cost of imports such as crude oil.

Higher costs can add to inflation and squeeze company margins.

On October 12, the Sensex fell 547.65 points even though the rupee opened stronger.

Analysts also cited foreign fund outflows and higher bond yields.

Crude oil was around 106 dollars a barrel at one point.

The decline followed Friday’s rebound, which had ended a prolonged losing streak, according to HDFC Sky.

Market breadth was nearly even, with 2,187 stocks advancing, 2,066 declining and 235 unchanged on the BSE, according to HDFC Sky.

The Nifty Midcap index was flat, while the Nifty Smallcap index rose 1.4%.

Among sectors, Nifty Media rose 4.6%, Realty gained 1%, Auto rose 0.9% and Pharma rose 0.3%, according to HDFC Sky.

IT, metal, private bank, PSU bank and FMCG indices each fell between 0.4% and 1%, according to the same report.

Among Nifty 50 stocks, ITC, Tech Mahindra, L&T, Hindalco and Hindustan Unilever were among the top losers, with falls of about 2% to 3%.

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, Bajaj Auto, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Bharat Electronics and BSE Ltd were among the top gainers, according to HDFC Sky.

The rupee opened stronger, about 94 to 98 paise higher at around 95.75 to 95.77 per dollar against Friday’s close of 96.73, according to India TV and Analytics Insight.

HDFC Sky said the early recovery in the rupee did not translate into sustained buying in equities, and no closing rupee level was given in the reports reviewed.

Over the weekend, the Reserve Bank of India directed oil companies to source their dollar needs away from the spot market and tightened rules on foreign exchange hedging, according to HDFC Sky.

The RBI had recently raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.5%, according to the same report.

BSE building, Mumbai (file image), Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 2.0

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Markets bounce back: Where the Sensex and Nifty stand after three sessions

The Sensex rebounded 879 points to close at 72,472.33 and the Nifty gained 289 points to 22,520.45 on October 9, snapping a two-day losing streak as IT stocks rallied and crude prices eased.

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On October 7, the Sensex fell 429 points.

On October 8, it fell 1,045 points to 71,593.24.

On October 9, it rose 879 points to 72,472.33.

The Nifty closed at 22,520.45.

The RBI’s rate hike, oil prices and foreign selling remain in focus.

The Nifty IT index was the biggest gainer, up 3.02%, followed by the Nifty FMCG index, up 2.20%, according to Upstox.

One analyst credited Tata Consultancy Services’ better-than-expected September quarter results for lifting the IT sector.

Apollo Hospitals, ITC and Eicher Motors were the top Nifty gainers, according to Business Standard.

Among Sensex stocks, ITC, TCS, Adani Ports, Infosys and HCL Tech were the major gainers, and ITC rose 4.78%.

Reliance Industries was the only major Sensex laggard, with its shares falling 0.55%.

Global crude prices were trading below $103 a barrel on Friday, after reaching $105.02 a barrel on the previous evening.

Lower oil eased concerns over inflation and corporate profits.

Reduced fears of an immediate escalation between the US and Iran also helped restore risk appetite, according to one report.

Another report attributed the rebound to value buying and short covering after the sharp correction.

At 1 pm the Sensex was up 828 points, and at 3 pm it was up about 1,043 points before easing at the close.

In the closing auction session, the Nifty was at 22,535.65, which is why the headline figure differs from the settled 22,520.45.

The RBI had raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% on October 7, its first hike since February 2023.

On October 8, the Sensex had fallen 1,045 points to 71,593.24 and the Nifty 371 points to 22,231.80.

The Sensex is the 30-share index of the BSE, and the Nifty 50 is the benchmark index of the NSE.

This report is not investment advice, and market direction can change quickly.

National Stock Exchange of India, Mumbai (file image), Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

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US sanctions on Indian firms explained: Allegations, scope and next steps

The US State Department has sanctioned two Mumbai-based companies and five Indian nationals over alleged dealings in Iranian petroleum products, as part of a wider action against 10 entities, six individuals and five vessels.

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The US alleges that two Mumbai firms facilitated imports of Iranian petroleum products.

These are allegations, and the reports carried no response from the firms.

Five Indian nationals linked to the firms are also sanctioned.

Samudra Marine Services has until October 23 to wind down.

The Indian government has not commented in the reports.

The five Indian nationals are linked to the two companies and are blocked from transactions related to their respective firms.

This report does not name the individuals, because the reports describe allegations only.

The State Department’s overall action covered 10 entities, six individuals and five vessels tied to Iranian-origin petroleum, petroleum products and petrochemical products.

The department says that the entities channelled millions of dollars to Iran.

The US Treasury Department separately sanctioned 17 entities and their shadow fleet vessels.

Samudra Marine Services has been authorised to carry out wind-down transactions until October 23, 2026.

The action is part of Operation Economic Outcast, a US campaign to cut off Iran’s oil revenue.

A shadow fleet generally means vessels used to move sanctioned oil outside normal shipping oversight.

The Tribune’s report, based on PTI, did not carry a statement from the Indian government or the Ministry of External Affairs.

Coverage noted that the sanctions could affect India’s energy interests, despite recent limited resumptions of Iranian oil purchases, according to The Daily Jagran.

US sanctions can block the sanctioned persons’ assets under US jurisdiction and bar US persons from dealing with them.

Companies outside the US can face secondary consequences if they deal with sanctioned entities.

Brent crude was trading above $100 a barrel this week amid supply concerns in the Middle East.

On the same day, Indian shares fell sharply as Brent rose above $104 a barrel.

The figures for the total number of entities and vessels vary by agency, so readers should check the official State and Treasury releases.

Oil products tanker (representative image), Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

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